Idioma

Cómo el retroceso de Fibonacci puede ser utilizado para identificar soportes y resistencias

Technical analysis is based on the assumption that things that have happened in the past will often happen again under similar circumstances in the future. Fibonacci analysis is a way to forecast levels of support and resistance based on past price action.

What are the ratios and how are they used?

We will spare you the long, historical (and mostly erroneous) explanation of where the fibonacci ratios come from and how they appear in the natural world except to say that fibonacci analysis is based on the fibonacci number series, The ratios between the numbers in the fibonacci series are then applied to price charts.

While there are many Fibonacci ratios, in my experience, it is sufficient to stick with the standard levels of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 100%. Slicing these levels into thinner segments results in a crowded chart and probably won’t improve your analysis.

How are fibonacci ratios calculated?

The ratios are based on the distance between fibonacci numbers within the fibonacci number series. If we use three numbers from a simple fibonacci series (1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55...) you can see how this works.

  1. (34-21)/34 = 38.2%
  2. (34-21)/55 = 23.6%
  3. (34-21)/21 = 61.8% 

 

Where do the lines go?

The sticky part of technical analysis is that it can be a little subjective, which means that it allows for a great deal of interpretation and individual preference. However, with fibonacci analysis there are a two things you can do to help remove some of that subjectivity.

  1. Apply the fibonacci retracement anchors to the top and bottom of a major move in the price chart. Sometimes traders refer to these major tops and bottoms as "swing highs" and "swing lows." in the video you will see several examples of identifying these points in a price chart.
  2. Trade with the trend. Using the fibonacci levels to identify support bounces will be more accurate when the market is in a general uptrend. Similarly, looking for resistance bounces at the fibonacci levels will be more accurate when the market is in a downtrend. 

 

Support and resistance lines or areas?

Support and resistance is more often an area around the Fibonacci lines than a specific to-the-pip point in the charts. You will find that prices tend to move around a support or resistance line before bouncing, especially during a consolidation.

Discounting that level because of a temporary break may lead you to ignore a valid signal in the future. In the examples used in the video you will see how to evaluate those potential support and resistance area in the charts within MetaTrader4 and how to use them to control risk as well as opportunities.

Depositar fondos en su cuenta

Usted puede depositar fondos en su cuenta de múltiples
maneras.

Averigua más

Aplicación MT4 para iPhone

Acceda a los mercados donde quiera que usted se encuentre con
la aplicación gratuita de
MT4 para iPhone.

Más detalles

Webinars

Amplíe sus conocimientos de comercio con nuestra serie webinar gratuito.

Averigua más

Nuevos clientes